Can Lando Norris Still Win the 2026 F1 Championship?

Yes, Lando Norris can still win the championship on paper, but he is the longest shot of the six drivers still in it. He finished eighth in the Singapore sprint on 10 October 2026 after tangling with his McLaren team-mate, and now has 189 points, 136 behind Kimi Antonelli on 325, with 175 points left. If Norris wins all seven remaining Grands Prix, he finishes on 364, and Antonelli must score 38 or fewer.

What happened in the Singapore sprint?

Norris lost 4 points to the leader. He attacked Oscar Piastri into Turn 5 late in the race and the two McLarens spun together, dropping Norris to eighth for 1 point and Piastri to 14th. Antonelli finished fourth for 5.

The gap grew from 132 to 136. Norris's best possible total fell from 371 to 364, and the most Antonelli can score against a perfect Norris dropped from 50 to 38. Piastri's best possible total is now 303, below Antonelli's current total, so he can no longer win the title.

How far behind Antonelli is Norris?

Lando Norris is 136 points behind Kimi Antonelli. He is sixth in the 2026 standings on 189 points, while Antonelli leads on 325. These figures are the official standings after round 16 plus the provisional sprint result. The last column shows how many more points each rival could score and still finish behind Norris if he reaches his best possible total of 364.

If Norris wins everything, the best anyone else can do is second in all seven races, worth 126 points. That takes Russell to 362, 2 short of 364. Antonelli is the only driver who can stop Norris winning out.

Norris vs Antonelli: how do they compare?

Antonelli is ahead of Lando Norris on points and on Grand Prix wins. Win and podium counts come from the 2026 race results and the official Sepang result.

How many points are left in the 2026 F1 season?

There are 175 points left in the 2026 F1 season: seven Grands Prix, each paying 25 for a win down to 1 for tenth, per Formula 1's guide to the Drivers' Championship. Singapore was the last of six sprint weekends on the sprint calendar, and the fastest-lap bonus point was scrapped from 2025, so no other points are on offer.

What does Norris need to win the 2026 title?

Lando Norris needs to win nearly all of the last seven races, and Antonelli needs to score 38 points or fewer. Each win Norris gives up for a second place cuts what Antonelli can afford by 7 points.

In the lower rows another driver wins the races Norris does not, and those points count against that driver's own room in the standings table above. Antonelli has averaged about 19 points a weekend so far.

What happens if Norris and Antonelli finish level on points?

If Lando Norris and Kimi Antonelli finish level on points, the driver with more Grand Prix wins is champion. If wins are level too, second places decide it, and so on down the order, according to Formula 1's championship guide.

A tie at 364 would go Norris's way, because 9 wins beats Antonelli's 8, so in that one case Antonelli could add 39. That is why the table above says "no more than": each figure beats Antonelli outright.

When could Norris be knocked out of the title race?

The earliest Lando Norris can be knocked out of the 2026 title race is the Singapore Grand Prix on 11 October. Norris is out if Antonelli outscores him by 14 or more on Sunday, which pushes the gap to at least 150 with 150 left. At exactly 150 the tie-break would go to Antonelli, because Norris could at best equal Antonelli's win count and has fewer second places.

Austin is the harder test. After it only 125 points remain, and Norris already trails by 136. He survives Austin only if he outscores Antonelli by at least 12 points across Singapore and Austin.

Which F1 races are left in 2026?

Seven races are left in the 2026 F1 season, from Singapore on 11 October to Abu Dhabi on 6 December, per the official 2026 calendar.

Going to one of these races? Open that race's guide for session times, transport to the circuit and the eSIM plan that fits the trip.

Who can still win the 2026 F1 title?

Six drivers can still win the 2026 F1 title on paper. Oscar Piastri cannot: his best possible total is below Antonelli's current points.

What does this maths leave out?

The numbers on this page count points and nothing else. They do not predict which car is fastest, and they carry no odds. Penalties, disqualifications and cancelled races would all move the numbers, and we would rerun them if one happened. The full method sits in the methodology note below.

Lotsotravel is an independent travel eSIM provider, and the race guides linked above are our own. If you are heading to a race in the run-in, the button below opens our plans.